- See Also
- Gwern
-
Links
- “Letter from Shanghai: Reflections on China in 2024—#73 § Culture of Science in China & AI Arms Races”, Hsu 2024
- “Business Spending on AI Surged 500% This Year to $13.8 Billion”
- “Long Context RAG Performance of Large Language Models”, Leng et al 2024
- “Alphabet Q3 Earnings Call: CEO Sundar Pichai’s Remarks”
- “Model Equality Testing: Which Model Is This API Serving?”, Gao et al 2024
- “Memorandum on Advancing the United States’ Leadership in Artificial Intelligence”, Biden 2024
- “‘King of the Geeks’: How Alex Gerko Built a British Trading Titan: XTX Markets Conquered Foreign Exchange Trading and Made Its Russian-Born Founder a Multibillion-Pound Fortune”, Asgari 2024
- “A Single Cloud Compromise Can Feed an Army of AI Sex Bots”, Krebs 2024
- “Constellation Energy to Restart Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant & Sell All Power to Microsoft for Datacenter”
- “Nvidia’s AI Chips Are Cheaper to Rent in China Than US: Supply of Processors Helps Chinese Start-Ups Advance Artificial Intelligence Technology despite Washington’s Restrictions”, McMorrow & Olcott 2024
- “OpenAI Co-Founder Sutskever’s New Safety-Focused AI Startup SSI Raises $1 Billion”, Cai et al 2024
- “How to Lose Money on the World’s Most Popular Investment Theme: Pity the Investors in the Three Artificial-Intelligence-Themed ETFs That Managed to Lose Money This Year”, Mackintosh 2024
- “Is Xi Jinping an AI Doomer? China’s Elite Is Split over Artificial Intelligence”, Economist 2024
- “AI-Powered Coding Pulls in Almost $1bn of Funding to Claim ‘Killer App’ Status”, Murgia 2024
- “Chips or Not, Chinese AI Pushes Ahead: A Host of Chinese AI Startups Are Attempting to Write More Efficient Code for Large Language Models”, Kao & Huang 2024
- “Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?”, Sevilla et al 2024
- “An Update to Adept [Amazon Acquihire]”, Adept 2024
- “Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Being an Underdog, AI Safety, and Economic Inequality”, Perrigo 2024
- “Development Cost of ARC GPT-4o Prototype”, Greenblatt 2024
- “OpenAI’s Colin Jarvis Predicts "Exponential" Advancements in Large Language Model Capabilities during AI Summit London Keynote”, Wodecki 2024
- “Apple to ‘Pay’ OpenAI for ChatGPT Through Distribution, Not Cash”, Gurman 2024
- “New AI Battle Adopts Old Price War Strategy As Chinese Tech Giants Keep Start-Ups at Bay behind the Great Firewall”, Jiang & Le 2024
- “China’s Latest Answer to OpenAI Is ‘Chat Xi PT’: Internet Regulator Uses Chinese Leader’s Political Philosophy to Help Answer Questions Posed to Latest Large Language Model”, McMorrow 2024
- “Meet Facebook’s AI Lobbying Army: With 30 Lobbyists & 7 Agencies, the Company Is Primed to Push Its Agenda on Washington”, Hashim 2024
- “Where Does China Stand In the Current AI Wave? China’s Top Policy Experts Discuss the US-China Gap, Open vs. Closed, and Societal Implications”, Welch 2024
- “Paper Tiger? Chinese Science and Home Bias in Citations”, Qiu et al 2024
- “Sam Altman Invests in Energy Startup Focused on AI Data Centers: Investment by OpenAI CEO Highlights Artificial Intelligence’s Electricity Appetite”, Ramkumar 2024
- “Now Hiring: Sophisticated (but Part-Time) Chatbot Tutors: The Human Work of Teaching A.I. Is Getting a Lot More Complex As the Technology Improves”, Lu 2024
- “How Tech Giants Cut Corners to Harvest Data for AI: OpenAI, Google and Meta Ignored Corporate Policies, Altered Their Own Rules and Discussed Skirting Copyright Law As They Sought Online Information to Train Their Newest Artificial Intelligence Systems”, Metz et al 2024
- “Inside Big Tech’s Underground Race to Buy AI Training Data”, Paul & Tong 2024
- “A Peter Thiel-Backed AI Startup, Cognition Labs, Seeks $2 Billion Valuation: Funding round Could Increase Startup’s Valuation Nearly Sixfold in a Matter of Weeks, Reflecting AI Frenzy”, Jin 2024
- “Microsoft, OpenAI Plan $100 Billion Data-Center Project, Media Report Says”, Reuters 2024
- “Stability AI Announcement”, Stability 2024
- “Anthropic Is Lining up a New Slate of Investors, but the AI Startup Has Ruled out Saudi Arabia”, Rooney 2024
- “The NSA Warns That US Adversaries Free to Mine Private Data May Have an AI Edge: Gilbert Herrera, Who Leads Research at the National Security Agency, Says Large Language Models Are Incredibly Useful—And a Bit of a Headache—For America’s Intelligence Machine”, Knight 2024
- “China Said to Fall Short of Matching US Advances in AI owing to ‘Many Challenges in Theory and Technologies’”, Jiang 2024
- “Marc Andreessen Eats Washington”, Schleifer 2024
- “The Carbon Emissions of Writing and Illustrating Are Lower for AI Than for Humans”, Tomlinson et al 2024
- “Beyond Chinchilla-Optimal: Accounting for Inference in Language Model Scaling Laws”, Sardana & Frankle 2023
- “Training Stable Diffusion from Scratch Costs <$160k”, Stephenson & Seguin 2023
- “Generative AI Beyond LLMs: System Implications of Multi-Modal Generation”, Golden et al 2023
- “ByteDance Is Secretly Using OpenAI’s Tech to Build a Competitor”, Heath 2023
- “Politics and the Future”, Horowitz 2023
- “Real-Time AI & The Future of AI Hardware”, Uberti 2023
- FutureJurvetson @ "2023-11-24"
- “Microsoft Swallows OpenAI’s Core Team § Compute Is King”, Patel & Nishball 2023
- “Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models”, Vipra & Korinek 2023
- “OpenAI Seeks New Valuation of Up to $90 Billion in Sale of Existing Shares”, Seetharaman 2023
- “Insights into Stack Overflow’s Traffic: We’re Setting the Record Straight”, Darilek 2023
- “LLMs As Workers in Human-Computational Algorithms? Replicating Crowdsourcing Pipelines With LLMs”, Wu et al 2023
- “Are Large Language Models a Threat to Digital Public Goods? Evidence from Activity on Stack Overflow”, Rio-Chanona et al 2023
- “He Spent $140 Billion on AI With Little to Show. Now He Is Trying Again. Billionaire Masayoshi Son Said He Would Make SoftBank ‘the Investment Company for the AI Revolution’, but He Missed out on the Most Recent Frenzy”, Brown 2023
- “The 26-Year-Old CEO Who Became Washington’s AI Whisperer”, Matsakis & Goba 2023
- “Inflection AI Announces $1.3 Billion of Funding Led by Current Investors, Microsoft, and NVIDIA”, AI 2023
- “Why YouTube Could Give Google an Edge in AI”, Victor 2023
- “Microsoft and OpenAI Forge Awkward Partnership As Tech’s New Power Couple: As the Companies Lead the AI Boom, Their Unconventional Arrangement Sometimes Causes Conflict”, Dotan & Seetharaman 2023
- “Scale AI CEO Says US Risks Losing AI ‘Ammunition’ Edge to China”, Edgerton 2023
- “LTX by Broadridge Launches BondGPT™ Powered by OpenAI GPT-4”, Inc 2023
- “The AI Boom Runs on Chips, but It Can’t Get Enough: ‘It’s like Toilet Paper during the Pandemic.’ Startups, Investors Scrounge for Computational Firepower”, Seetharaman & Dotan 2023
- “China Says Chatbots Must Toe the Party Line: The Communist Party Outlined Draft Rules That Would Set Guardrails on the Rapidly Growing Industry of Services like ChatGPT”, Che 2023
- “AI Is Taking the Jobs of Kenyans Who Write Essays for US College Students: Ghostwriters Say the Meteoric Rise of ChatGPT Has Coincided With a Drop in Income”, Siele 2023
- “In AI Race, Microsoft and Google Choose Speed Over Caution: Technology Companies Were Once Leery of What Some Artificial Intelligence Could Do. Now the Priority Is Winning Control of the Industry’s next Big Thing”, Grant & Weise 2023
- “China’s Answer to ChatGPT? Baidu Shares Tumble As Ernie Bot Disappoints”, Baptista & Ye 2023
- “Salesforce Announces Einstein GPT, the World’s First Generative AI for CRM”, Salesforce 2023
- “China Tells Big Tech Companies Not to Offer ChatGPT Services: State Media Outlet Blasts Chatbot As Spreading US Government ‘Misinformation’”, Zhou 2023
- davidtayar5 @ "2023-02-10"
- “New Bing, and an Interview With Kevin Scott and Sam Altman About the Microsoft-OpenAI Partnership”, Thompson 2023
- “Microsoft Thinks AI Can Beat Google at Search—CEO Satya Nadella Explains Why: AI Is Coming for Your Browser, Your Social Media, and Your Operating System, Too”, Patel 2023
- “OpenAI’s Sam Altman Talks ChatGPT And How Artificial General Intelligence Can ‘Break Capitalism’”, Konrad & Cai 2023
- “How ChatGPT Kicked Off an AI Arms Race: Even inside the Company, the Chatbot’s Popularity Has Come As Something of a Shock”, Roose 2023
- “Google Is Asking Employees to Test Potential ChatGPT Competitors, including a Chatbot Called 'Apprentice Bard'”, Elias 2023
- “Anthropic, an AI Start-Up, Is Said to Be Close to Adding $300 Million: Anthropic Specializes in Generative Artificial Intelligence, a Hot Investment in Silicon Valley. The New Funding Could Value the Company at Roughly $5 Billion”, Griffith & Metz 2023
- “The inside Story of ChatGPT: How OpenAI Founder Sam Altman Built the World’s Hottest Technology With Billions from Microsoft”, Kahn 2023
- “Microsoft and OpenAI Extend Partnership”, Microsoft 2023
- “General Availability of Azure OpenAI Service Expands Access to Large, Advanced AI Models With Added Enterprise Benefits”, Boyd 2023
- “Microsoft Bets Big on the Creator of ChatGPT in Race to Dominate AI: As a New Chatbot Wows the World With Its Conversational Talents, a Resurgent Tech Giant Is Poised to Reap the Benefits While Doubling down on a Relationship With the Start-Up OpenAI”, Metz & Weise 2023
- “Inside the Structure of OpenAI’s Looming New Investment from Microsoft and VCs”, Mathews & Kahn 2023
- “Microsoft + OpenAI: Inside Tech’s Hottest Romance. As Microsoft and OpenAI Finalize a Blockbuster Financing Round, a Big Question Looms: Can Both Sides Get What They Want—And Rocket ahead of Rivals like Google—Without Things Getting Too Complicated?”, Woo et al 2023
- “Microsoft Is Weighing $10 Billion Investment in OpenAI, Sources Say”, Mathews & Kahn 2023
- “Microsoft Eyes $10 Billion Bet on ChatGPT”, Hoffman & Albergotti 2023
- “A New Chat Bot Is a ‘Code Red’ for Google’s Search Business: A New Wave of Chat Bots like ChatGPT Use Artificial Intelligence That Could Reinvent or Even Replace the Traditional Internet Search Engine”, Grant & Metz 2022
- “Here’s What I Saw at an AI Hackathon: AI Gossip, Celebrity Sightings, Tech Trends—And Some Great Projects”, Shipper 2022
- “6 New Theories About AI: Software With Superpowers § GPT-4”, Armstrong 2022
- “TSMC Racing to 1nm, Investing $32 Billion for Fab: Report”, Shilov 2022
- “OpenAI, Valued at Nearly $20 Billion, in Advanced Talks With Microsoft For More Funding”, Holmes et al 2022
- “Programming Possibility: Kevin Scott on AI’s Impact on Cognitive Work”, Hoffman & Scott 2022
- “Measuring the Carbon Intensity of AI in Cloud Instances”, Dodge et al 2022
- “Ethan Caballero on Private Scaling Progress”, Caballero & Trazzi 2022
- “Varuna: Scalable, Low-Cost Training of Massive Deep Learning Models”, Athlur et al 2021
- “Sustainable AI: Environmental Implications, Challenges and Opportunities”, Wu et al 2021
- “On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models”, Bommasani et al 2021
- “First-Generation Inference Accelerator Deployment at Facebook”, Anderson et al 2021
- “Ezra Klein Interviews Sam Altman”, Klein & Altman 2021
- “Anthropic Raises $124 Million to Build More Reliable, General AI Systems”, Anthropic 2021
- “Research Community Dynamics behind Popular AI Benchmarks”, Martínez-Plumed et al 2021
- “Cooperative AI Foundation (CAIF)”, CAIF 2021
- “Carbon Emissions and Large Neural Network Training”, Patterson et al 2021
- “ChinAI #137: Year 3 of ChinAI: Reflections on the Newsworthiness of Machine Translation”, Ding 2021
- “GPT-3 Powers the Next Generation of Apps: Over 300 Applications Are Delivering GPT-3–powered Search, Conversation, Text Completion, and Other Advanced AI Features through Our API”, OpenAI 2021
- “Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021 § Chapter 2: Technical Performance”, Zhang et al 2021 (page 41)
- “Organizational Update from OpenAI”, OpenAI 2020
- “AI and Efficiency: We’re Releasing an Analysis Showing That Since 2012 the Amount of Compute Needed to Train a Neural Net to the Same Performance on ImageNet Classification Has Been Decreasing by a Factor of 2 Every 16 Months”, Hernandez & Brown 2020
- “Thoughts on OpenAI [Redacted]”, Scott & Nadella 2019b
- “AI and Compute”, Amodei et al 2018
- “OpenAI and Elon Musk § Tesla Merger Proposal”, Karpathy 2018
- “TikTok Owner ByteDance Quietly Launched 4 Generative AI Apps Powered By OpenAI’s GPT”, Baker-White 2014
- “Funding Safe AGI”, Legg 2009
- “Economic Growth Given Machine Intelligence”, Hanson 2009
- “Carl Shulman on the Economy and National Security After AGI”
- “How to Build a Startup Monopoly With GPT-3 (20 Techniques)”
- “Microsoft and OpenAI Partner to Propose Digital Transformation of Export Controls”
- “Cohere”
- “A Call to Build Models Like We Build Open-Source Software”
- “Trading Off Compute in Training and Inference”
- “Scale AI Secures $1B Funding at $14B Valuation As Its CEO Predicts Big Revenue Growth and Profitability by Year-End [On Very High Quality Data]”
- “Let’s Reproduce GPT-2 (1.6B): One 8×H100 Node, 24 Hours, $672”
- “NFDG [VC Firm]”, Friedman & Grossman 2024
- “Scale: The Data Platform for AI; High Quality Training and Validation Data for AI Applications”, AI 2024
- “Stability AI CEO Resigns Because You Can’t Beat Centralized AI With More Centralized AI”
- “Introducing Adept”
- “AMA Conjecture, A New Alignment Startup”
- “Starting a Business Around GPT-3 Is a Bad Idea”
- “Anthropic Raises $124 Million to Build More Reliable, General AI Systems”
- “General Purpose Technologies and the Rise & Fall of Great Powers”, Ding 2024
- “How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fab”
- “Carl Shulman #2: AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future”
- “The Emerging Age of AI Diplomacy: To Compete With China, the United States Must Walk a Tightrope in the Gulf”
- “Compute Funds and Pre-Trained Models”
- “The Colliding Exponentials of AI”
- “AGI Will Drastically Increase Economies of Scale”
- “We Are Conjecture, A New Alignment Research Startup”
- “Liability Regimes for AI”
- “FTC Is Investigating ChatGPT Maker”
- “US Clears Way for Antitrust Inquiries of Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI”
- “Energy Companies Turn to Robots to Install Solar Panels”
- “ChatGPT’s Weekly Users Have Doubled in Less Than a Year: Now 200 Million People Use the AI Chatbot Each Week”, Roth 2024
- “Bill Gates Reveals Superhuman AI Prediction”
- sama
- Sort By Magic
- Wikipedia
- Miscellaneous
- Bibliography
See Also
Gwern
“Hardware Hedging Against Scaling Regime Shifts”, Gwern 2024
“Laws of Tech: Commoditize Your Complement”, Gwern 2018
“The Hyperbolic Time Chamber & Brain Emulation”, Gwern 2012
“Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs”, Gwern 2016
“Slowing Moore’s Law: How It Could Happen”, Gwern 2012
Links
“Letter from Shanghai: Reflections on China in 2024—#73 § Culture of Science in China & AI Arms Races”, Hsu 2024
Letter from Shanghai: Reflections on China in 2024—#73 § culture of science in China & AI arms races
“Business Spending on AI Surged 500% This Year to $13.8 Billion”
Business spending on AI surged 500% this year to $13.8 billion
“Long Context RAG Performance of Large Language Models”, Leng et al 2024
“Alphabet Q3 Earnings Call: CEO Sundar Pichai’s Remarks”
“Model Equality Testing: Which Model Is This API Serving?”, Gao et al 2024
“Memorandum on Advancing the United States’ Leadership in Artificial Intelligence”, Biden 2024
Memorandum on Advancing the United States’ Leadership in Artificial Intelligence
“‘King of the Geeks’: How Alex Gerko Built a British Trading Titan: XTX Markets Conquered Foreign Exchange Trading and Made Its Russian-Born Founder a Multibillion-Pound Fortune”, Asgari 2024
“A Single Cloud Compromise Can Feed an Army of AI Sex Bots”, Krebs 2024
“Constellation Energy to Restart Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant & Sell All Power to Microsoft for Datacenter”
“Nvidia’s AI Chips Are Cheaper to Rent in China Than US: Supply of Processors Helps Chinese Start-Ups Advance Artificial Intelligence Technology despite Washington’s Restrictions”, McMorrow & Olcott 2024
“OpenAI Co-Founder Sutskever’s New Safety-Focused AI Startup SSI Raises $1 Billion”, Cai et al 2024
OpenAI co-founder Sutskever’s new safety-focused AI startup SSI raises $1 billion
“How to Lose Money on the World’s Most Popular Investment Theme: Pity the Investors in the Three Artificial-Intelligence-Themed ETFs That Managed to Lose Money This Year”, Mackintosh 2024
“Is Xi Jinping an AI Doomer? China’s Elite Is Split over Artificial Intelligence”, Economist 2024
Is Xi Jinping an AI doomer? China’s elite is split over artificial intelligence
“AI-Powered Coding Pulls in Almost $1bn of Funding to Claim ‘Killer App’ Status”, Murgia 2024
AI-powered coding pulls in almost $1bn of funding to claim ‘killer app’ status
“Chips or Not, Chinese AI Pushes Ahead: A Host of Chinese AI Startups Are Attempting to Write More Efficient Code for Large Language Models”, Kao & Huang 2024
“Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?”, Sevilla et al 2024
“An Update to Adept [Amazon Acquihire]”, Adept 2024
“Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Being an Underdog, AI Safety, and Economic Inequality”, Perrigo 2024
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Being an Underdog, AI Safety, and Economic Inequality
“Development Cost of ARC GPT-4o Prototype”, Greenblatt 2024
“OpenAI’s Colin Jarvis Predicts "Exponential" Advancements in Large Language Model Capabilities during AI Summit London Keynote”, Wodecki 2024
“Apple to ‘Pay’ OpenAI for ChatGPT Through Distribution, Not Cash”, Gurman 2024
Apple to ‘Pay’ OpenAI for ChatGPT Through Distribution, Not Cash
“New AI Battle Adopts Old Price War Strategy As Chinese Tech Giants Keep Start-Ups at Bay behind the Great Firewall”, Jiang & Le 2024
“China’s Latest Answer to OpenAI Is ‘Chat Xi PT’: Internet Regulator Uses Chinese Leader’s Political Philosophy to Help Answer Questions Posed to Latest Large Language Model”, McMorrow 2024
“Meet Facebook’s AI Lobbying Army: With 30 Lobbyists & 7 Agencies, the Company Is Primed to Push Its Agenda on Washington”, Hashim 2024
“Where Does China Stand In the Current AI Wave? China’s Top Policy Experts Discuss the US-China Gap, Open vs. Closed, and Societal Implications”, Welch 2024
“Paper Tiger? Chinese Science and Home Bias in Citations”, Qiu et al 2024
“Sam Altman Invests in Energy Startup Focused on AI Data Centers: Investment by OpenAI CEO Highlights Artificial Intelligence’s Electricity Appetite”, Ramkumar 2024
“Now Hiring: Sophisticated (but Part-Time) Chatbot Tutors: The Human Work of Teaching A.I. Is Getting a Lot More Complex As the Technology Improves”, Lu 2024
“How Tech Giants Cut Corners to Harvest Data for AI: OpenAI, Google and Meta Ignored Corporate Policies, Altered Their Own Rules and Discussed Skirting Copyright Law As They Sought Online Information to Train Their Newest Artificial Intelligence Systems”, Metz et al 2024
“Inside Big Tech’s Underground Race to Buy AI Training Data”, Paul & Tong 2024
“A Peter Thiel-Backed AI Startup, Cognition Labs, Seeks $2 Billion Valuation: Funding round Could Increase Startup’s Valuation Nearly Sixfold in a Matter of Weeks, Reflecting AI Frenzy”, Jin 2024
“Microsoft, OpenAI Plan $100 Billion Data-Center Project, Media Report Says”, Reuters 2024
Microsoft, OpenAI plan $100 billion data-center project, media report says
“Stability AI Announcement”, Stability 2024
“Anthropic Is Lining up a New Slate of Investors, but the AI Startup Has Ruled out Saudi Arabia”, Rooney 2024
Anthropic is lining up a new slate of investors, but the AI startup has ruled out Saudi Arabia
“The NSA Warns That US Adversaries Free to Mine Private Data May Have an AI Edge: Gilbert Herrera, Who Leads Research at the National Security Agency, Says Large Language Models Are Incredibly Useful—And a Bit of a Headache—For America’s Intelligence Machine”, Knight 2024
“China Said to Fall Short of Matching US Advances in AI owing to ‘Many Challenges in Theory and Technologies’”, Jiang 2024
“Marc Andreessen Eats Washington”, Schleifer 2024
“The Carbon Emissions of Writing and Illustrating Are Lower for AI Than for Humans”, Tomlinson et al 2024
The carbon emissions of writing and illustrating are lower for AI than for humans
“Beyond Chinchilla-Optimal: Accounting for Inference in Language Model Scaling Laws”, Sardana & Frankle 2023
Beyond Chinchilla-Optimal: Accounting for Inference in Language Model Scaling Laws
“Training Stable Diffusion from Scratch Costs <$160k”, Stephenson & Seguin 2023
“Generative AI Beyond LLMs: System Implications of Multi-Modal Generation”, Golden et al 2023
Generative AI Beyond LLMs: System Implications of Multi-Modal Generation
“ByteDance Is Secretly Using OpenAI’s Tech to Build a Competitor”, Heath 2023
ByteDance is secretly using OpenAI’s tech to build a competitor
“Politics and the Future”, Horowitz 2023
“Real-Time AI & The Future of AI Hardware”, Uberti 2023
FutureJurvetson @ "2023-11-24"
“Microsoft Swallows OpenAI’s Core Team § Compute Is King”, Patel & Nishball 2023
“Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models”, Vipra & Korinek 2023
“OpenAI Seeks New Valuation of Up to $90 Billion in Sale of Existing Shares”, Seetharaman 2023
OpenAI Seeks New Valuation of Up to $90 Billion in Sale of Existing Shares
“Insights into Stack Overflow’s Traffic: We’re Setting the Record Straight”, Darilek 2023
Insights into Stack Overflow’s traffic: We’re setting the record straight
“LLMs As Workers in Human-Computational Algorithms? Replicating Crowdsourcing Pipelines With LLMs”, Wu et al 2023
LLMs as Workers in Human-Computational Algorithms? Replicating Crowdsourcing Pipelines with LLMs
“Are Large Language Models a Threat to Digital Public Goods? Evidence from Activity on Stack Overflow”, Rio-Chanona et al 2023
Are Large Language Models a Threat to Digital Public Goods? Evidence from Activity on Stack Overflow
“He Spent $140 Billion on AI With Little to Show. Now He Is Trying Again. Billionaire Masayoshi Son Said He Would Make SoftBank ‘the Investment Company for the AI Revolution’, but He Missed out on the Most Recent Frenzy”, Brown 2023
“The 26-Year-Old CEO Who Became Washington’s AI Whisperer”, Matsakis & Goba 2023
“Inflection AI Announces $1.3 Billion of Funding Led by Current Investors, Microsoft, and NVIDIA”, AI 2023
Inflection AI announces $1.3 billion of funding led by current investors, Microsoft, and NVIDIA
“Why YouTube Could Give Google an Edge in AI”, Victor 2023
“Microsoft and OpenAI Forge Awkward Partnership As Tech’s New Power Couple: As the Companies Lead the AI Boom, Their Unconventional Arrangement Sometimes Causes Conflict”, Dotan & Seetharaman 2023
“Scale AI CEO Says US Risks Losing AI ‘Ammunition’ Edge to China”, Edgerton 2023
Scale AI CEO Says US Risks Losing AI ‘Ammunition’ Edge to China
“LTX by Broadridge Launches BondGPT™ Powered by OpenAI GPT-4”, Inc 2023
“The AI Boom Runs on Chips, but It Can’t Get Enough: ‘It’s like Toilet Paper during the Pandemic.’ Startups, Investors Scrounge for Computational Firepower”, Seetharaman & Dotan 2023
“China Says Chatbots Must Toe the Party Line: The Communist Party Outlined Draft Rules That Would Set Guardrails on the Rapidly Growing Industry of Services like ChatGPT”, Che 2023
“AI Is Taking the Jobs of Kenyans Who Write Essays for US College Students: Ghostwriters Say the Meteoric Rise of ChatGPT Has Coincided With a Drop in Income”, Siele 2023
“In AI Race, Microsoft and Google Choose Speed Over Caution: Technology Companies Were Once Leery of What Some Artificial Intelligence Could Do. Now the Priority Is Winning Control of the Industry’s next Big Thing”, Grant & Weise 2023
“China’s Answer to ChatGPT? Baidu Shares Tumble As Ernie Bot Disappoints”, Baptista & Ye 2023
China’s answer to ChatGPT? Baidu shares tumble as Ernie Bot disappoints
“Salesforce Announces Einstein GPT, the World’s First Generative AI for CRM”, Salesforce 2023
Salesforce Announces Einstein GPT, the World’s First Generative AI for CRM
“China Tells Big Tech Companies Not to Offer ChatGPT Services: State Media Outlet Blasts Chatbot As Spreading US Government ‘Misinformation’”, Zhou 2023
davidtayar5 @ "2023-02-10"
Context on the NVIDIA ChatGPT opportunity—and ramifications of large language model enthusiasm
“New Bing, and an Interview With Kevin Scott and Sam Altman About the Microsoft-OpenAI Partnership”, Thompson 2023
New Bing, and an Interview with Kevin Scott and Sam Altman About the Microsoft-OpenAI Partnership
“Microsoft Thinks AI Can Beat Google at Search—CEO Satya Nadella Explains Why: AI Is Coming for Your Browser, Your Social Media, and Your Operating System, Too”, Patel 2023
“OpenAI’s Sam Altman Talks ChatGPT And How Artificial General Intelligence Can ‘Break Capitalism’”, Konrad & Cai 2023
OpenAI’s Sam Altman Talks ChatGPT And How Artificial General Intelligence Can ‘Break Capitalism’
“How ChatGPT Kicked Off an AI Arms Race: Even inside the Company, the Chatbot’s Popularity Has Come As Something of a Shock”, Roose 2023
“Google Is Asking Employees to Test Potential ChatGPT Competitors, including a Chatbot Called 'Apprentice Bard'”, Elias 2023
“Anthropic, an AI Start-Up, Is Said to Be Close to Adding $300 Million: Anthropic Specializes in Generative Artificial Intelligence, a Hot Investment in Silicon Valley. The New Funding Could Value the Company at Roughly $5 Billion”, Griffith & Metz 2023
“The inside Story of ChatGPT: How OpenAI Founder Sam Altman Built the World’s Hottest Technology With Billions from Microsoft”, Kahn 2023
“Microsoft and OpenAI Extend Partnership”, Microsoft 2023
“General Availability of Azure OpenAI Service Expands Access to Large, Advanced AI Models With Added Enterprise Benefits”, Boyd 2023
“Microsoft Bets Big on the Creator of ChatGPT in Race to Dominate AI: As a New Chatbot Wows the World With Its Conversational Talents, a Resurgent Tech Giant Is Poised to Reap the Benefits While Doubling down on a Relationship With the Start-Up OpenAI”, Metz & Weise 2023
“Inside the Structure of OpenAI’s Looming New Investment from Microsoft and VCs”, Mathews & Kahn 2023
Inside the structure of OpenAI’s looming new investment from Microsoft and VCs
“Microsoft + OpenAI: Inside Tech’s Hottest Romance. As Microsoft and OpenAI Finalize a Blockbuster Financing Round, a Big Question Looms: Can Both Sides Get What They Want—And Rocket ahead of Rivals like Google—Without Things Getting Too Complicated?”, Woo et al 2023
“Microsoft Is Weighing $10 Billion Investment in OpenAI, Sources Say”, Mathews & Kahn 2023
Microsoft is weighing $10 billion investment in OpenAI, sources say
“Microsoft Eyes $10 Billion Bet on ChatGPT”, Hoffman & Albergotti 2023
“A New Chat Bot Is a ‘Code Red’ for Google’s Search Business: A New Wave of Chat Bots like ChatGPT Use Artificial Intelligence That Could Reinvent or Even Replace the Traditional Internet Search Engine”, Grant & Metz 2022
“Here’s What I Saw at an AI Hackathon: AI Gossip, Celebrity Sightings, Tech Trends—And Some Great Projects”, Shipper 2022
“6 New Theories About AI: Software With Superpowers § GPT-4”, Armstrong 2022
“TSMC Racing to 1nm, Investing $32 Billion for Fab: Report”, Shilov 2022
“OpenAI, Valued at Nearly $20 Billion, in Advanced Talks With Microsoft For More Funding”, Holmes et al 2022
OpenAI, Valued at Nearly $20 Billion, in Advanced Talks with Microsoft For More Funding
“Programming Possibility: Kevin Scott on AI’s Impact on Cognitive Work”, Hoffman & Scott 2022
Programming Possibility: Kevin Scott on AI’s Impact on Cognitive Work
“Measuring the Carbon Intensity of AI in Cloud Instances”, Dodge et al 2022
“Ethan Caballero on Private Scaling Progress”, Caballero & Trazzi 2022
“Varuna: Scalable, Low-Cost Training of Massive Deep Learning Models”, Athlur et al 2021
Varuna: Scalable, Low-cost Training of Massive Deep Learning Models
“Sustainable AI: Environmental Implications, Challenges and Opportunities”, Wu et al 2021
Sustainable AI: Environmental Implications, Challenges and Opportunities
“On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models”, Bommasani et al 2021
“First-Generation Inference Accelerator Deployment at Facebook”, Anderson et al 2021
First-Generation Inference Accelerator Deployment at Facebook
“Ezra Klein Interviews Sam Altman”, Klein & Altman 2021
“Anthropic Raises $124 Million to Build More Reliable, General AI Systems”, Anthropic 2021
Anthropic raises $124 million to build more reliable, general AI systems
“Research Community Dynamics behind Popular AI Benchmarks”, Martínez-Plumed et al 2021
“Cooperative AI Foundation (CAIF)”, CAIF 2021
“Carbon Emissions and Large Neural Network Training”, Patterson et al 2021
“ChinAI #137: Year 3 of ChinAI: Reflections on the Newsworthiness of Machine Translation”, Ding 2021
ChinAI #137: Year 3 of ChinAI: Reflections on the newsworthiness of machine translation
“GPT-3 Powers the Next Generation of Apps: Over 300 Applications Are Delivering GPT-3–powered Search, Conversation, Text Completion, and Other Advanced AI Features through Our API”, OpenAI 2021
“Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021 § Chapter 2: Technical Performance”, Zhang et al 2021 (page 41)
Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021 § Chapter 2: Technical Performance:
“Organizational Update from OpenAI”, OpenAI 2020
“AI and Efficiency: We’re Releasing an Analysis Showing That Since 2012 the Amount of Compute Needed to Train a Neural Net to the Same Performance on ImageNet Classification Has Been Decreasing by a Factor of 2 Every 16 Months”, Hernandez & Brown 2020
“Thoughts on OpenAI [Redacted]”, Scott & Nadella 2019b
“AI and Compute”, Amodei et al 2018
“OpenAI and Elon Musk § Tesla Merger Proposal”, Karpathy 2018
“TikTok Owner ByteDance Quietly Launched 4 Generative AI Apps Powered By OpenAI’s GPT”, Baker-White 2014
TikTok Owner ByteDance Quietly Launched 4 Generative AI Apps Powered By OpenAI’s GPT
“Funding Safe AGI”, Legg 2009
“Economic Growth Given Machine Intelligence”, Hanson 2009
Economic Growth Given Machine Intelligence:
View PDF:
“Carl Shulman on the Economy and National Security After AGI”
Carl Shulman on the economy and national security after AGI:
View External Link:
https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/carl-shulman-economy-agi/
“How to Build a Startup Monopoly With GPT-3 (20 Techniques)”
“Microsoft and OpenAI Partner to Propose Digital Transformation of Export Controls”
Microsoft and OpenAI partner to propose digital transformation of export controls:
“Cohere”
“A Call to Build Models Like We Build Open-Source Software”
“Trading Off Compute in Training and Inference”
“Scale AI Secures $1B Funding at $14B Valuation As Its CEO Predicts Big Revenue Growth and Profitability by Year-End [On Very High Quality Data]”
“Let’s Reproduce GPT-2 (1.6B): One 8×H100 Node, 24 Hours, $672”
Let’s reproduce GPT-2 (1.6B): one 8×H100 node, 24 hours, $672
“NFDG [VC Firm]”, Friedman & Grossman 2024
“Scale: The Data Platform for AI; High Quality Training and Validation Data for AI Applications”, AI 2024
Scale: The Data Platform for AI; High quality training and validation data for AI applications
“Stability AI CEO Resigns Because You Can’t Beat Centralized AI With More Centralized AI”
Stability AI CEO resigns because you can’t beat centralized AI with more centralized AI
“Introducing Adept”
“AMA Conjecture, A New Alignment Startup”
“Starting a Business Around GPT-3 Is a Bad Idea”
“Anthropic Raises $124 Million to Build More Reliable, General AI Systems”
Anthropic raises $124 million to build more reliable, general AI systems
“General Purpose Technologies and the Rise & Fall of Great Powers”, Ding 2024
General Purpose Technologies and the Rise & Fall of Great Powers:
“How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fab”
“Carl Shulman #2: AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future”
Carl Shulman #2: AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future
“The Emerging Age of AI Diplomacy: To Compete With China, the United States Must Walk a Tightrope in the Gulf”
“Compute Funds and Pre-Trained Models”
“The Colliding Exponentials of AI”
“AGI Will Drastically Increase Economies of Scale”
“We Are Conjecture, A New Alignment Research Startup”
“Liability Regimes for AI”
“FTC Is Investigating ChatGPT Maker”
“US Clears Way for Antitrust Inquiries of Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI”
US Clears Way for Antitrust Inquiries of Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI
“Energy Companies Turn to Robots to Install Solar Panels”
“ChatGPT’s Weekly Users Have Doubled in Less Than a Year: Now 200 Million People Use the AI Chatbot Each Week”, Roth 2024
“Bill Gates Reveals Superhuman AI Prediction”
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https://a16z.com/2020/08/12/taming-the-tail-adventures-in-improving-ai-economics/
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https://blog.eladgil.com/p/ai-platforms-markets-and-open-source
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https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2024/03/12/how-to-feed-the-ais/
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https://danwang.co/technological-momentum/
:View External Link:
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https://evabehrens.substack.com/p/the-agi-race-between-the-us-and-china
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https://fortune.com/2023/11/29/stability-ai-sale-intel-ceo-resign/
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https://gpus.llm-utils.org/nvidia-h100-gpus-supply-and-demand/
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https://gpus.llm-utils.org/nvidia-h100-gpus-supply-and-demand/#how-do-the-big-clouds-compare
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https://openai.com/blog/introducing-chatgpt-and-whisper-apis
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https://restofworld.org/2023/ai-revolution-outsourced-workers/
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https://stackoverflow.co/company/press/archive/openai-partnership/
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https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2023/07/25/anthropic-observations/
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https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2022/5/27/theres-no-such-thing-as-data
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https://www.erichgrunewald.com/posts/the-prospect-of-an-ai-winter/
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https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/QNRs_FHI-TR-2021-3.0.pdf#page=2
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https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/illusion-chinas-ai-prowess-regulation-helen-toner
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https://www.honeycomb.io/blog/hard-stuff-nobody-talks-about-llm
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https://www.reddit.com/r/freelanceWriters/comments/12ff5mw/it_happened_to_me_today/
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https://www.semianalysis.com/p/ai-datacenter-energy-dilemma-race
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https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/05/22/1092763/openais-gpt4o-chinese-ai-data/
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https://www.theregister.com/2023/11/07/bing_gpu_oracle/
:View External Link:
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https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23794855/anthropic-ai-openai-claude-2
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/03/07/ai-data-centers-power/
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https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ftc-opens-antitrust-probe-of-microsoft-ai-deal-29b5169a
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https://www.zdnet.com/article/microsoft-has-over-a-million-paying-github-copilot-users-ceo-nadella/
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https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openai-co-founder-sutskevers-new-safety-focused-ai-startup-ssi-raises-1-billion-2024-09-04/
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https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-etf-investor-mistakes-tips-690e204e
: “How to Lose Money on the World’s Most Popular Investment Theme: Pity the Investors in the Three Artificial-Intelligence-Themed ETFs That Managed to Lose Money This Year”, -
https://www.economist.com/china/2024/08/25/is-xi-jinping-an-ai-doomer
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https://www.ft.com/content/4868bd38-613c-4fa9-ba9d-1ed8fa8a40c8
: “AI-Powered Coding Pulls in Almost $1bn of Funding to Claim ‘Killer App’ Status”, -
https://time.com/6990386/anthropic-dario-amodei-interview/
: “Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Being an Underdog, AI Safety, and Economic Inequality”, -
https://aibusiness.com/nlp/openai-chief-architect-predicts-huge-large-language-model-leaps
: “OpenAI’s Colin Jarvis Predicts "Exponential" Advancements in Large Language Model Capabilities during AI Summit London Keynote”, -
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-12/apple-to-pay-openai-for-chatgpt-through-distribution-not-cash
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https://www.ft.com/content/43378c6e-664b-4885-a255-31325d632ee9
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https://www.chinatalk.media/p/where-does-china-stand-in-the-ai
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https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sam-altman-investment-exowatt-energy-startup-ai-data-centers-eeeca766
: “Sam Altman Invests in Energy Startup Focused on AI Data Centers: Investment by OpenAI CEO Highlights Artificial Intelligence’s Electricity Appetite”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/10/technology/ai-chatbot-training-chatgpt.html
: “Now Hiring: Sophisticated (but Part-Time) Chatbot Tutors: The Human Work of Teaching A.I. Is Getting a Lot More Complex As the Technology Improves”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/06/technology/tech-giants-harvest-data-artificial-intelligence.html
: “How Tech Giants Cut Corners to Harvest Data for AI: OpenAI, Google and Meta Ignored Corporate Policies, Altered Their Own Rules and Discussed Skirting Copyright Law As They Sought Online Information to Train Their Newest Artificial Intelligence Systems”, -
https://www.reuters.com/technology/inside-big-techs-underground-race-buy-ai-training-data-2024-04-05/
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https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/a-peter-thiel-backed-ai-startup-cognition-labs-seeks-2-billion-valuation-998fa39d
: “A Peter Thiel-Backed AI Startup, Cognition Labs, Seeks $2 Billion Valuation: Funding round Could Increase Startup’s Valuation Nearly Sixfold in a Matter of Weeks, Reflecting AI Frenzy”, -
https://www.wired.com/story/fast-forward-nsa-warns-us-adversaries-private-data-ai-edge/
: “The NSA Warns That US Adversaries Free to Mine Private Data May Have an AI Edge: Gilbert Herrera, Who Leads Research at the National Security Agency, Says Large Language Models Are Incredibly Useful—And a Bit of a Headache—For America’s Intelligence Machine”, -
https://puck.news/marc-andreessen-eats-washington/
: “Marc Andreessen Eats Washington”, -
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-54271-x
: “The Carbon Emissions of Writing and Illustrating Are Lower for AI Than for Humans”, -
https://www.databricks.com/blog/category/generative-ai/mosaic-research
: “Training Stable Diffusion from Scratch Costs <$160k”, -
https://x.com/FutureJurvetson/status/1728076563285971040
: “Google Now Spends More on Compute Than on People”, -
https://www.semianalysis.com/p/microsoft-swallows-openais-core-team#%C2%A7compute-is-king
: “Microsoft Swallows OpenAI’s Core Team § Compute Is King”, -
https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.01550
: “Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models”, -
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-seeks-new-valuation-of-up-to-90-billion-in-sale-of-existing-shares-ed6229e0
: “OpenAI Seeks New Valuation of Up to $90 Billion in Sale of Existing Shares”, -
https://www.wsj.com/articles/he-spent-140-billion-on-ai-with-little-to-show-now-he-is-trying-again-dbcca17
: “He Spent $140 Billion on AI With Little to Show. Now He Is Trying Again. Billionaire Masayoshi Son Said He Would Make SoftBank ‘the Investment Company for the AI Revolution’, but He Missed out on the Most Recent Frenzy”, -
https://inflection.ai/inflection-ai-announces-1-3-billion-of-funding
: “Inflection AI Announces $1.3 Billion of Funding Led by Current Investors, Microsoft, and NVIDIA”, -
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/why-youtube-could-give-google-an-edge-in-ai
: “Why YouTube Could Give Google an Edge in AI”, -
https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-and-openai-forge-awkward-partnership-as-techs-new-power-couple-3092de51
: “Microsoft and OpenAI Forge Awkward Partnership As Tech’s New Power Couple: As the Companies Lead the AI Boom, Their Unconventional Arrangement Sometimes Causes Conflict”, -
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-ai-boom-runs-on-chips-but-it-cant-get-enough-9f76f554
: “The AI Boom Runs on Chips, but It Can’t Get Enough: ‘It’s like Toilet Paper during the Pandemic.’ Startups, Investors Scrounge for Computational Firepower”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/24/world/asia/china-chatbots-ai.html
: “China Says Chatbots Must Toe the Party Line: The Communist Party Outlined Draft Rules That Would Set Guardrails on the Rapidly Growing Industry of Services like ChatGPT”, -
https://restofworld.org/2023/chatgpt-taking-kenya-ghostwriters-jobs/
: “AI Is Taking the Jobs of Kenyans Who Write Essays for US College Students: Ghostwriters Say the Meteoric Rise of ChatGPT Has Coincided With a Drop in Income”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/07/technology/ai-chatbots-google-microsoft.html
: “In AI Race, Microsoft and Google Choose Speed Over Caution: Technology Companies Were Once Leery of What Some Artificial Intelligence Could Do. Now the Priority Is Winning Control of the Industry’s next Big Thing”, -
https://www.reuters.com/technology/chinese-search-giant-baidu-introduces-ernie-bot-2023-03-16/
: “China’s Answer to ChatGPT? Baidu Shares Tumble As Ernie Bot Disappoints”, -
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/China-tech/China-tells-big-tech-companies-not-to-offer-ChatGPT-services
: “China Tells Big Tech Companies Not to Offer ChatGPT Services: State Media Outlet Blasts Chatbot As Spreading US Government ‘Misinformation’”, -
https://x.com/davidtayar5/status/1627690520456691712
: “Context on the NVIDIA ChatGPT Opportunity—And Ramifications of Large Language Model Enthusiasm”, -
https://stratechery.com/2023/new-bing-and-an-interview-with-kevin-scott-and-sam-altman-about-the-microsoft-openai-partnership/
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: “Microsoft Thinks AI Can Beat Google at Search—CEO Satya Nadella Explains Why: AI Is Coming for Your Browser, Your Social Media, and Your Operating System, Too”, -
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: “OpenAI’s Sam Altman Talks ChatGPT And How Artificial General Intelligence Can ‘Break Capitalism’”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/03/technology/chatgpt-openai-artificial-intelligence.html
: “How ChatGPT Kicked Off an AI Arms Race: Even inside the Company, the Chatbot’s Popularity Has Come As Something of a Shock”, -
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/31/google-testing-chatgpt-like-chatbot-apprentice-bard-with-employees.html
: “Google Is Asking Employees to Test Potential ChatGPT Competitors, including a Chatbot Called 'Apprentice Bard'”, -
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/27/technology/anthropic-ai-funding.html
: “Anthropic, an AI Start-Up, Is Said to Be Close to Adding $300 Million: Anthropic Specializes in Generative Artificial Intelligence, a Hot Investment in Silicon Valley. The New Funding Could Value the Company at Roughly $5 Billion”, -
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https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/12/technology/microsoft-openai-chatgpt.html
: “Microsoft Bets Big on the Creator of ChatGPT in Race to Dominate AI: As a New Chatbot Wows the World With Its Conversational Talents, a Resurgent Tech Giant Is Poised to Reap the Benefits While Doubling down on a Relationship With the Start-Up OpenAI”, -
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: “Inside the Structure of OpenAI’s Looming New Investment from Microsoft and VCs”, -
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https://www.semafor.com/article/01/09/2023/microsoft-eyes-10-billion-bet-on-chatgpt
: “Microsoft Eyes $10 Billion Bet on ChatGPT”, -
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: “Here’s What I Saw at an AI Hackathon: AI Gossip, Celebrity Sightings, Tech Trends—And Some Great Projects”, -
https://greylock.com/greymatter/kevin-scott-ai-programming-possibility/
: “Programming Possibility: Kevin Scott on AI’s Impact on Cognitive Work”, -
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: “Ethan Caballero on Private Scaling Progress”, -
https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.07258
: “On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models”, -
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.10350#google
: “Carbon Emissions and Large Neural Network Training”, -
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https://openai.com/blog/gpt-3-apps/
: “GPT-3 Powers the Next Generation of Apps: Over 300 Applications Are Delivering GPT-3–powered Search, Conversation, Text Completion, and Other Advanced AI Features through Our API”, -
https://openai.com/research/ai-and-compute
: “AI and Compute”, -
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: “ChatGPT’s Weekly Users Have Doubled in Less Than a Year: Now 200 Million People Use the AI Chatbot Each Week”,