[CommunityDiscussion] What's going to happen in 2015? Post your predictions and tinfoil theories

A lot of people lurk this sub just to find out what's going to happen next. The seizures, arrests, close calls, crazy and funny stories that happen in this community are the stuff Hollywood is made of. And whenever some disaster strikes there's always that random throwaway who called it out first and tried to warn us, but got downvoted, ridiculed and ignored.

So I wanted to start a thread where we try to guess what 2015 has in store for us. Will Evo and Agora persist another year without LE shutting them down? FBI planning a mass operation to bust dozens of vendors in one day? Ross and Defcon both acquitted? Will poppermachine ever come back from that fateful dinner?

For the lurkers, detectives and clairvoyant among you, post your best predictions of what's going to happen in 2015, and we'll come back to this thread on Dec 31st - assuming we're not all in the slammer - to see who was on the money.


Comments


[20 Points] 392329329:

  1. Either Agora or EVO goes offline, possible both by the end of the year.

  2. Crackdown on anonymous BTC buying, selling and exchanging.

  3. Decentralized markets getting some love.

  4. TOR will be scrutinized by governments even more than in 2014.

  5. Another Darknet bust wave and increase of busts involving customers.

  6. People still not learning not to FE and getting scammed.

  7. Community outcry for an alternative to Bitcoin.

  8. At least another future high profile market popping up.

  9. People will still not use multi-sig

  10. I2P will get some love too.

  11. Some sort of wizard is likely to reply to this comment.


[7 Points] OnTheLeft:

All of the LE will give up and we'll all live happily ever after in Belize.


[8 Points] Duke_LFG:

SR3 mysteriously vanishes and then SR4 begins.

I whole heartily believe 2015 will see a SR5, but not a SR6.


[5 Points] pinkprincess1:

  1. One way or another, Agora will be offline by the end of year, Evo will remain.
  2. Silk Road 3 (or whatever one we're on now - the TOR one) will be a scam and will disappear.
  3. Silk Road I2P will be legit but won't experience much growth because, well, all silk roads are fucked.
  4. We will find out HOS was scamming all along after an exit scam
  5. FE scams will continue, people won't learn. And they'll still get short shift around these parts.


[7 Points] mxefan123:

  1. Sand and Belize joke's will have finally been ran into the ground.

  2. Evolution will have collected enough "honey" and result in 100+ arrests.

  3. Silkroad 5-9 will be launched

  4. Some reincarnation of RCI, PFM's, and or another high profile scammer will come back and exit scam.

  5. A new and improved market will come and knock Evo out of the top spot.


[4 Points] II-NataYmleg:

We will finally see a sand-only market.


[3 Points] PolkCounty:

/u/Astrid_Death will be arrested and charged for being admin of agora

Mark Karpeles will go down for his mtgox/sr scheme

Chris Tarbell will finally off himself

That's all for this man's wishful thinking


[3 Points] None:

[deleted]


[3 Points] R4ID:

  1. people will upgrade their IRL OPSEC and move from Sn(tin) tinfoil hats to a much denser Pb(lead) lead hats. This new denser material will help to repel the gamma and x ray wave lengths that the government is obviously bombarding us with in an attempt to read our minds and find out just how much MXE we are taking on a daily basis...(that got really long winded fast eh)

  2. a top celebrity will get busted with drugs and it will get linked to them using a DNM

  3. We will get 3 new mods for the sub during 2015, 1 will cause some sort of drama and be removed after only a few months of being active, the second will be LE. the last will be a very helpful and much welcomed mod to the sub. sadly this means 3 of the current mods will be leaving us in 2015 (each for their own personal reasons)

  4. finally, bailey jay will come and do an AMA for us after all our pestering and bother of him on twitter

  5. Ross is going to "mysteriously fall ill and die" while under custody. it will be very controversial and his family will try and sue the state for negligence

  6. We will come up with something WAY, WAAY funnier than belize and sand jokes because some vendor will make a silly mistake and mail something insane instead of the product.


[2 Points] Bongoduke:

Last scams on 31. December this year


[2 Points] throwaway:

US law enforcement will spin up a few thousand tor nodes and use them to deanonymize hidden services which they disapprove of.

Seized hidden services will be covertly subverted to drop TBB exploits on any visitors and deanonymize them. These will target linux (tails) as well as windows. If they have a local privilege escalation they will modify the tails ISO so that they persist across usages, search for and mount any other bootable drives connected to the machine, and try to inject malware on them as well.


[2 Points] None:

-Actual cocaine will be for sale again.

-The return of Buttonwood!!!


[1 Points] Niggerkiller99:

I doubt the current situation will last till Christmas. Hopefully the scene will be pushed further underground and all the idiots will give up.


[1 Points] LongLiveThe_King:

Damn, you guys are cynical.


[1 Points] EastCoastCollective:

Dark net will continue to prosper and grow.


[-5 Points] thegrahamcracker:

More sand being sent to people, but I hope not.