Visualisation of darknet market lifespans

http://i.imgur.com/DLq1fDp.png

Data source: http://www.gwern.net/Black-market%20survival

Chart source (made by myself): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darknet_market

edit - updated with colors, sorted by opening rather than closing: https://i.imgur.com/gcWwK5B.png


Comments


[16 Points] gwern:

Here's a version in R/ggplot2: https://i.imgur.com/9f3IWLZ.png

This one colors each market by why they shut down, and sorts them by when they opened, rather than closed. The code, assuming you've imported using my existing R code:

library(ggplot2)
ggplot(black, aes(colour=Closure)) +
    geom_segment(aes(x=Start, xend=End, y=reorder(Market,Start), yend=reorder(Market,Start)), size=3) +
    xlab("Open") + ylab("Market")

EDIT: more up to date: http://www.gwern.net/images/silkroad/marketlifetimes.png


[8 Points] RennHuhn:

So who uses Outlaw Market?


[5 Points] 2211kjfjfjann:

So only SR1, SR2, BMR, Dream, Agora, and Outlaw have made it past a year. I guess its hard to run a market past a year when you got SAT's to prep for.


[6 Points] nowitasshole:

Really interesting graph.

Wonder if we'll ever see a market have a 3rd birthday? SilkRoad nearly made it. Agora is only half way there.


[6 Points] TotesMessenger:

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[3 Points] select1on:

Would be interesting to overlay red blocks for outages etc.


[2 Points] earthmoonsun:

not really long life spans


[2 Points] predajca:

gwern: Can I ask you why you do not put in list Bloomfield?


[2 Points] Trappy_Pandora:

/r/budcentral flow chart.

Silk road -> Black Market reloaded -> pandora -> blue sky market -> cannabis road* (*oh god why did I let them talk me into bringing the boss there. Never again) -> agora -> evolution -> nucleus -> alphabay.


[1 Points] lesmannedvehicle:

A donut for ya /u/changetip


[1 Points] Spectortc:

Awesome post.


[1 Points] None:

Nice chart. Do you partake?

1 cryptocrack /u/changetip


[1 Points] steroids888:

Absolem/Havana operate under a new private URL. You need to have an invite to access their site.


[1 Points] Chrome_Panda_Gaucho:

OP, can you re-order the graph so the list order goes by when the market was open, not when it was closed. That way we could see patterns of closings and how far they ran compared to other markets started at that time


[1 Points] NEEDS_MORE_SPEED:

Feel that BlueSky closed wayyyyyyy longer ago than late 2014 (maybe early 2014). My sense of time might just be off, though.


[1 Points] OrangeJuleeus:

excellent!