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Market => Product offers => Topic started by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 08:22 am

Title: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 08:22 am
I have started to gamble a bit in sports.. If you know what your doing and have control, you can  make a lot of money... I joined up with this service a couple months ago, they are not a betting service, they just tell you what to bet.. So far, in the last 2 months, they have been right 70 percent of the time.. Most of the bets were underdogs so they payed off well...

Would any of you like this type of service? Today, I made 230.00 with only betting 200.. so, i got my 200 back plus the 230.00 that was just today..

Granted, while these picks are good, nothing is 100 percent.. so, with sports, especially baseball, you have to be in it for the long haul..

you dont need a ton of money to start..  I just started with 300 and now I have over 5k...

So, there are 2 ways I could offer this service.. 1. you buy the days picks (sometimes there is only one pick, sometimes 4 and sometimes none.) If there isn't any picks for that day, you would get the picks for the next day.. If the picks aren't at least 50 percent winners, you dont pay. so, if there are 2 picks and one is right, yet the other one was wrong, you would still pay for the days pick.

I was thinking about charging like 20 bucks for the days pick or you can buy it by the week or by the month..  With the 50 percent guarantee in place..

Anyone interested in this type of service? If so, contact me and Ill put up some listing, etc.. I wont put up the picks, you will receive it in you pm's. I pay a lot for this service, and i think this would be a great way for some of you to get some extra cash... you dont have to be a high rolller either... you can bet 5 bucks or 1000 or more...  I think betting between 50-100 is probably a safe bet. but nothing is guaranteed, like i said, if the picks aren't at least 50/50 you wont be charged a dime..

Also, I have a couple of great sport book places that are really good, so unless you have one already, let me tell you who is the best to join.. they are not all created equal.. this is the place where you will place the bets..

Like this idea?

Talk to me...

Since there isn't a category for this Please go here for now..   http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/7605dfbeb0
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: Limetless on June 29, 2012, 08:39 am
Could you guarantee me a return on a G-note?
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 08:53 am
Just to make it clear.. I only will refund the money that you paid me for the service if the daily picks dont do at least 50 percent... What and where you place the bets, is up to you..  I will give this service for discount til it gets going. At this moment, 10 offerings will be available for 10 bucks (plus sr fees)

If you pay for the service and you bet on 2 teams and if god forbid they lose, i dont guarantee that money back. the only money i guarantee back is the service fee for the picks..Right now, I iisted it for 10 bucks a day and if 50 percent aren't winners, you dont pay the 10 bucks.. it will stay in escrow until the end of the day. the money that you actually are betting is a whole different subject. if you win, you keep all the winnings and the same thing if they lose.. thats why its best to keep it to a lower bet until you get comfortable with it.. like i did..
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: QUIKO on June 29, 2012, 08:54 am
I would buy. I enjoy gambling

Please keep us updated
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: Limetless on June 29, 2012, 08:57 am
Just to make it clear.. I only will refund the money that you paid me for the service if the daily picks dont do at least 50 percent... What and where you place the bets, is up to you..  I will give this service for free for a few reputable members here on the forum. (for a couple days or so)

Oh I thought you were on about taking our money, doing the bets yaself and then flippin it back to us. I'm not too fussed otherwise tbh, I fancied having a big flutter all in one go after I've done the new Meph I've got coming.
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 09:02 am
I am going to charge 20 bucks for this service (for the daily picks) To get me started, i knocked that in half... Just to get going and work out the kinks, etc... so, its only 10 bucks for the days picks... like i said, the picks vary, it can be one pick or 4 picks...or more.. but since its only baseball right now, its usually around the 1 or 2 a day. sometimes none...

Heres the link again..  http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/7605dfbeb0
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 09:12 am
For example: Here is what today's picks would have looked like...

Today's Picks for Thursday June 28, 2012   
 
* MLB Premium Picks *
 
2 Unit: Detroit Tigers  +108 (MONEYLINE0 7:10PM EST
 
I'm siding with the Tigers here tonight vs James Shields and the Rays.
The Rays just got embarrassed by the Royals and the Tigers just
got done playing some stiff competition against Texas.  Detroit has
some really good talented hitters and the record is deceiving compared
to the talent that is on this team.  I'm expected the Rays to be down after
getting swept by the Royals. Take Detroit tonight and this will
be an easy victory!
 
2 Unit: New York Mets +116 (MONEYLINE) 10:10PM EST
 
Look, the Dodgers have nobody that can hit a baseball on this team.
Their best two players are out in Either and Kemp. Chris Young
will dominate tonight vs L.A so this will be another easy win! Go
Mets!
 

IF you would have be just 50.00 dollars on each team you would have won 53.00 from tigers win and 58.00 for Mets win...Thats on top of getting your 50.00 dollar bet back on each team...

Again, heres the link...  http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/7605dfbeb0
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 09:23 am
Heres the link at the market..  http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/7605dfbeb0
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: Vlad the Impailer on June 29, 2012, 09:41 am
Do you have a Heritage Sports account? Would you be so kind as to hand me an invite?
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: war on June 29, 2012, 09:49 am
I would DEFINITELY be interested in demoing this and then paying for service... can you shoot me a PM so we can work things out?  It would take me a bit of time to set up an account etc...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 10:15 am
Here is my record from the beginning of may til yesterday, not including the two wins today...

5/2/2012        Washington Nationals    -124    2       Win
5/4/2012        Tampa Bay Rays  -190    2       Win
5/4/2012        Nashville Predators     -160    2       Lose
5/4/2012        Denver Nuggets  -3.5    2       Win
5/7/2012        LA Clippers     -1      2       Win
5/9/2012        Boston Red Sox  -138    2       Lose
5/10/0212       Washington Nationals    -160    2       Win
5/10/2012       Philadelphia 76ers      -3.5    2       Lose
5/12/2012       Milwaukee Brewers       -165    2       Win
5/12/2012       Boston Celtics  -230    2       Win
5/15/2012       Milwaukee Brewers       -130    2       Win
5/16/2012       Philadelphia 76ers      -130    2       Lose
5/17/2012       Atlanta Braves  -150    2       Win
5/18/2012       LA Angels       -168    2       Win
5/19/2012       Boston Red Sox  -118    2       Win
5/21/2012       Washington Nationals    -128    2       Win
5/23/2012       Philadelphia Phillies   -154    2       Win
5/26/2012       Detroit Tigers  -132    2       Win
5/28/2012       Toronto Blue Jays       -130    2       Win
5/29/2012       Cincinnati Reds         -121    2       Win
5/30/2012       Philadelphia Phillies   -144    2       Win
6/1/2012        Tampa Bay Rays  -163    2       Win
6/2/2012        Oklahoma City Thunder   -3.5    2       Win
6/4/2012        Oklahoma City Thunder   +5      2       Win
6/5/2012        Philadelphia Phillies   -180    2       Lose
6/6/2012        Detroit Tigers  -162    2       Lose
6/8/2012        Arizona Diamondbacks and Oakland A's    Under 9.5       2       Lose
6/9/2012        Detroit Tigers  -150    4       Win
6/10/2012       Miami Marlins   -115    2       Lose
6/11/2012       LA Kings        -165    2       Win
6/12/2012       Detroit Tigers  -140    2       Lose
6/13/2012       Tampa Bay Rays  -150    2       Lose
6/14/2012       Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat    Over 195.5      4       Win
6/15/2012       Pittsburgh Pirates      +124    2       Lose
6/16/2012       Boston Red Sox  -142    2       Win
6/16/2020       Detroit Tigers  -156    2       Win
6/17/2012       Oklahoma City Thunder   +4..5   2       Lose
6/18/2012       Cincinnati Reds         -114    2       Lose
6/19/2012       Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat    Under 193       2       Lose
6/19/2012       Miami Heat      -3      2       Win
6/20/2012       Minnesota Twins +114    2       Win
6/21/2012       Miami Heat      -3      2       Win
6/23/2012       Miami Marlins   -150    2       Lose
6/23/2012       San Francisco Giants    -138    2       Win
6/24/2012       Miami Marlins   -140    3       Win
6/26/2012       Boston Red Sox  -152    2       Win
6/28/2012       Detroit Tigers +106          WIN
6/28/2010       NY Mets          +116         WIN

As  you can see, there are small losing streaks but much bigger winning streaks.. This is around 65-70 percent winners...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 11:02 am
I just made a new listing.. For the first 10 people to sign up, the charge for the entire month will only be 100.00 (plus sr fees)... If you sign up for this, you will be grandfathered in and your monthly price will not go up for at least a year.

After the 10 are sold, the price will be around the 300.00 mark

With the 100 a month fee. There is no guarantee on winners, etc. The price is so low that you will make plenty, even with the few losing sessions that we may have...

here is the link... http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/d43108dd03
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 11:30 am
Lots of interest in this already... If anyone has any questions or any other type of ideas, dont hesitate to contact me..


Cp
Title: Re: Sports book betting Picks... baseball, etc all sports
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 06:12 pm
Bump..
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 06:40 pm
But thats not going to happen very often... while it does happen, for the past 2 months we are winning at a 70 percent win rate...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 06:45 pm
Your right, the average handicapper wins just barely above 50 percent.. This is why Im sold on this. Its not like there are picks to every single game.. There were just 2 games that were recommended yesterday. When football season starts is when there will be more.

Also, Im just saying that you dont have to pay the daily fee if we dont win at least 50 percent.. or heck, ill even give the money back if 2 out of 3 dont win...(if there are 3) If there is only 2 and just one loses, Ill refund the money that was paid to me... Sound better?

With this change, ill be charging 15.00 dollars for the days picks, if there isnt at least one pick for that day, you will get the next days pick, etc. If there are 2 picks and one doesnt win, you dont pay the 15.00 dollars. if there are 3 picks and 2 or more win, then you must pay, etc.. So, to be clear, if there is one pick it must win for you to pay the 15.00 if there are 2 picks both must win to pay the 15.00 if there are 3 or more picks, 2 must win in order to pay the 15.00  so, if there are 4 picks and 2 win, you must pay the 15.00 you dont need to play all four either.

Bottom line if it wins 1 (one pick)or 2 times (with 2 or more picks), regardless of how many picks, then the 15.00 dollar payment is required..

Also, im not guarantying any loss that is incurred at the sport book web site. Im only referring to my fee... so, if you put up 50.00 and it happens to lose, you lose the 50.00 to the sport book.. I dont take bets (yet)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: BigScrote on June 29, 2012, 07:01 pm
also guaranteeing 50% ats is a net loss since it won't cover the 11:10 house advantage at most books

This is very important. I wish you all the luck in this endeavour, but you can't beat the book. I ran a sports book for several years and the juice is the great equalizer. The best handicapper I knew (and I'm talking about a guy who had modeling and statistical analysis skills that I would pit against anyone in the world), barely scraped over 55%. At the end of the day/week/month, variance is a killer.

But your idea seems legit and I wish you the best of luck! If you have any questions about the inner workings of the sports book, please feel free to PM me

Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 07:10 pm
Remember, we aren't betting on every single game out there..  If we did, we would probably be in the 55 percentile range. We cherry pick the best of the best, if there isn't a great one for that day, none will be listed. If you go check on the games that I bet on (a few posts above this) it will detail the past 2 months worth of betting..

Yes, there will be losing sessions and there will be winning sessions. At the end of the day, our goal is to be up by at least 60 percent or more (in the long run)... So far, so good...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 29, 2012, 07:17 pm
Todays a great example.. We decided that there weren't any "premium" picks to offer. while there are some good bets still out there. none that meet our criteria...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 30, 2012, 02:12 am
Bump :)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on June 30, 2012, 05:43 pm
Here are today picks BEFORE the games are played... Im thinking 2 will be winners. the first game has me worried, but the other two, should be winners. Lets see what happens..

* MLB Premium Picks *
 
2 Units: Atlanta Braves  +135 (MONEYLINE) 4:05PM EST
 
I'm rolling with the Braves today. I know Strasburg is pitching for the
Nationals but it's time for Mike Minor to step up and be a strong
part of this Braves rotation. The Nationals are 4-0 this season against
the Braves so this is a must win for the Braves if they are going to
compete for the NL East. Minor has nasty stuff but he hasn't been
smart with his pitches as of late. Baseball is a game of adjustments so
I expect Minor to shut down the Nationals today and this will be an
easy victory for the Braves.
 
2 Units: New York Mets -137 (MONEYLINE)  7:15PM EST
 
Holy cow how bad are the Dodgers! Their line up looks like a high
school line up without Kemp and Either in there.  Santana is on the
hill today for the Mets. He post a 4-0 record with a career 0.65
ERA in his lifetime against the Dodgers no matter who is in the line
up. You can sit back and watch the Mets POUND the Dodgers here
today. Easy $$$!!!
 
2 Units: Boston Red Sox -143 (MONEYLINE) 10:10PM EST
 
Josh Beckett is back today vs the Seattle Mariners. The Red Sox
are in this race for the AL EAST and mark my words they will finish
in 2nd place behind the Yankees and make the Wild Card spot. Beckett
is a premier pitcher and an ace for this team. He post a 7-2 career record
vs Seattle with a 3.03 ERA during that span. Seattle sucks and the Red
Sox are good. This is a no brainer! Red Sox will put money in your
pocket today!
 
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 01, 2012, 12:58 am
So far today my underdog won (more than doubled my money)
the mets won 5-0

So far, in 2 for 3 with the 3rd game playing now.....
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 01, 2012, 07:57 am
Well, we did it again. I went 2 or 3 on the picks... in the past 3 days thats 4/5...


I've now made a few hundred dollars...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: war on July 01, 2012, 07:59 am
Well, we did it again. I went 2 or 3 on the picks... in the past 3 days thats 4/5...


I've now made a few hundred dollars...

Solid picks Chronic!  I still think you should take me up on my piggyback offer :) 
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 02, 2012, 01:30 am
Today was the SF giants to win  and the LA angels to win.. they both did...

So far, we have only had one loss

So, in the last 3 days we are 6/7.....
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 02, 2012, 04:36 pm
 :)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maniacsxc on July 02, 2012, 08:13 pm
Just to clarify, are the picks just for outright winners or handicaps??

As I am a country where there are not many options for betting on Baseball. Only outright winner of the game and few others.

please advise.
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maynardJK032 on July 02, 2012, 08:42 pm
LOLZZZ
a tout has made their way to the road:0
anyone with a clue about sports betting knows how this will end.
70% lol...
98% of sports gamblers are losers in the long run.
the remaining 2% are mathematicians and could care less about handicapping a game.
They do the math needed  to find +EV in a line .

ALL touts are scum and con men.
anyone without a clue should do some googling before wasting $$$ buying picks from a jackass w/ a shaded record.
If the picks are so good why doesnt the tout just play his plays and virtually print $$$
the answer is b/c they are in the 98% of gamblers and found a way to scam clueless fuks.

a fool and his money ...LOL
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: joepinko on July 02, 2012, 09:52 pm
70 percent win rate is unsustainable... We all have our good days and weeks, but you will have losing days. It is very difficult to make a sustainable profit in gambling. I have had seasons where I have done well, but its just a hobby for me. I love sports in general and putting some money down can make them a bit more fun.
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 03, 2012, 02:14 am
The pick for today was for the pirates to win, which they did

So far since I started posting this we are 7/8

Remember, we don't bet on every single game.. Also, I posted the results that we have had since the beginning of may (close to 70 percent)

Nothing is guaranteed, thats why they call it gambling.. But, the way that  we are doing it has be +EV so far...

Some days we don't have any picks, while others we may have  3 or 4 but there will be more once football starts...

Hey, I dont care about the naysayers, All I care about are the picks and if they are winners. So far so good..

7/8 for the past 4 days isn't too bad at all... I even gave 3 picks for free and 2 of them won...I was skeptical at first too. No bookie in the world is more than 55 percent right (well, there is one bookie in las vegas who has a winning rate close to 80 percent and is a billionaire, they did a story about him on 60minutes..)

Ill keep posting the results, I know for a fact that we will have losing streaks.  But, we will also have winning streaks.. As long as we are above 60 percent... then I say its a success....
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 03, 2012, 02:22 am
from the past few days, we have only made 8 bets, I think, and 7 of them have been winners.. Most of them are for the moneyline.. There is a website on clearnet where you can bet bitcoins, but their odds/juice is terrible.. I only use them because I have bitcoins, but the real bets are made on good websites, like 5dimes, etc. just chose a web site that has a dime spread. there are a few that do that...

I love to put a few bucks on a game just to make the game more fun.... Now, im to the point where im actually making money, lol...  you have to be prepared for the variance.. Thats why its not wise to bet more  than 5-10 percent of your bankroll on anyone game, regardless of the odds and how sure you are that your team will win. I suggest to not bet more than 5 percent of your bank roll.
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 03, 2012, 02:29 am
LOLZZZ
a tout has made their way to the road:0
anyone with a clue about sports betting knows how this will end.
70% lol...
98% of sports gamblers are losers in the long run.
the remaining 2% are mathematicians and could care less about handicapping a game.
They do the math needed  to find +EV in a line .

ALL touts are scum and con men.
anyone without a clue should do some googling before wasting $$$ buying picks from a jackass w/ a shaded record.
If the picks are so good why doesnt the tout just play his plays and virtually print $$$
the answer is b/c they are in the 98% of gamblers and found a way to scam clueless fuks.

a fool and his money ...LOL

So, are you calling me scum and a con man? LOL, if you don't want to do it, fine, but to call me a conman and scum is not called for.. I even have a guarantee if the pick doesnt win or if there are multiple picks I will refund my fee. Im not taking the bets, Im just giving advice.. If its done with some thinking and some control, one can make a profit  and be +EV...

But, you are right, 99 percent of gamblers lose because they chase or try to recoup their losses and they dont think right.. If you dont have the money to lose, you shouldnt be gambling it.. Go buy your dose of H or mdma, thats money well spent, lol...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maynardJK032 on July 03, 2012, 04:06 am
The pick for today was for the pirates to win, which they did

So far since I started posting this we are 7/8

Remember, we don't bet on every single game.. Also, I posted the results that we have had since the beginning of may (close to 70 percent)

Nothing is guaranteed, thats why they call it gambling.. But, the way that  we are doing it has be +EV so far...

Some days we don't have any picks, while others we may have  3 or 4 but there will be more once football starts...

Hey, I dont care about the naysayers, All I care about are the picks and if they are winners. So far so good..

7/8 for the past 4 days isn't too bad at all... I even gave 3 picks for free and 2 of them won...I was skeptical at first too. No bookie in the world is more than 55 percent right (well, there is one bookie in las vegas who has a winning rate close to 80 percent and is a billionaire, they did a story about him on 60minutes..)

Ill keep posting the results, I know for a fact that we will have losing streaks.  But, we will also have winning streaks.. As long as we are above 60 percent... then I say its a success....

His name is Billy Waters and he's not a bookie
He was part of the orginal computer group that modeled sports and found advantages... or if they didnt have an advantage( but # was close) then his runners would drop max bets everywhere to move the line where he wanted it at.... then send more runners to get down even more $$$ at the line he wanted.
the group hit no where near 80%... might have had runs hitting that but long term they didnt win 80%
Hell, we all have runs, and good yrs but ultimately it swings back in favor of the book due to the juice you pay.
I hit 62% 2 yrs ago in NCAA for the season
last yr around 54% for the season

your claim would be more believable if ya said you might hit over 52.4% long term.

I'l bet you $100 that over rest of MLB season you wont hit 60% with max juice at -150 with a minimum of 90 picks posted before gametime using Pinnacle odds.
coins can go to a trusted mod for escrow
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 03, 2012, 04:16 am
I dont really worry about where the juice is at. Todays pick, for example was -140.. I'm not trying to prove anything at all. Ill be honest about the picks and if they are winners/losers.  Like I said, I dont bet on every game, or even every day.

Ill just continue to post the results.. No big deal to me... I don't do this for income at all, I do it for fun. I would never wager any more than I can afford to lose. For the most part, It makes the games a whole lot funner to watch, even if I have only 5 bucks on the game...

Also, I couldnt guarantee that I have at least 90 picks... I couldnt even guarantee to have 50.. Most likely we will, but every day is different...

Another thing.. All im saying is that our picks right now are at about 70 percent since the first of may...(Thats when I started getting into it) I know all about variance and  being +EV or -EV I play professional poker and most of my buddies are into gambling big time. One golf game 2 of the buddies were playing for 25k a hole (plus all the side bets that went on).. I about crapped myself when I watched this game.. One guy won about 200k after 18 holes... I could never bring myself to wager that type of money, even if i had it, lol...

Also you say it would be more believable if it was for a longer time.. I JUST STARTED THIS IN MAY!! How could I have a year behind me? I have just posted the results from may til today and the win ratio is right around 70 percent...(just a tad under, but i havent figured out with the latest wins)

I guess we wil just have to see if Im right or wrong in a year..... I may have given it up, since Im not into gambling big time (except for poker)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maynardJK032 on July 03, 2012, 05:07 am
fair enough
if you just started betting in May then maybe you are honest with your intentions. Skeptical though as I've seen this routine countless times. and earlier you said you were buying picks from a service for big money and would release those picks for a few coins. Now you use "our picks" when referring to picks???

I'm just advising potential suckers to do a little research before thinking this is easy money. far from it actually
I've been at it for a while and am also just recreational player.
losing yrs and winning yrs along the way.

I'll let you do your thing now though with one more piece of advise for the rookies...
If you are not exceptional with modeling, programming, scraping data, and advanced math .... ie: inferential statistics then dont think for a second you can beat the book cause its not happening over the long haul.

good luck with your bets chronic and enjoy:)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 03, 2012, 07:26 am
You are right. I've seen a thousand "scams" come and go.. There is a lot of research, number crunching, etc to even come close to the house, even then, the house will eventually win.. That's why I offered the deal of not charging if the picks didn't win or didnt win at lest 2/3, that way I wouldn't gain from someones loss.  But, there is so much involved that people don't realize and it takes a lot of time and effort.. Thats why when you find someone that is good with the picks and the price is right, it can be worth it..

The thing that I would never do is bet on 10-20 games a day with everyones evaluations. I only take the best of the best evaluations.. Even then, there is no guarantee that I am going to do the bet.. When I looked at todays best bet. I thought that it was a  good pick, even though the line was big.

It's smart to watch out for those "I will win" scams, I think this is the best type of system that I've seen. Its not perfect and I've had some losing sessions, but in the end its working out well.

When people buy these picks, I would still urge them to look into them a little and then make the decision to bet or not. The picks come with the reason behind it and if you agree with it, then it looks like a good bet..

The only one that I lost this week was one that I was on the fence about and that loss occured in extra innings. so, it was a close one..

But, to put a few bucks on a game is fun. But to win (even if its just a few bucks) makes it MUCH funner.. Just like with drugs. you have to gamble with responsibility and If my picks dont work out, then the buyer doesn't have to pay. So, there really isnt too much of a gamble on my part of it...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 04, 2012, 07:38 pm
There wasn't a pick for yesterday and todays pick was the phillies over the mets at -120.

If the Phillies hold on to win. this week we will be 8/9..
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 04, 2012, 07:59 pm
They held on.. we are now at 8/9 for the past week... Ill update the results from may 1st til today...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maynardJK032 on July 05, 2012, 04:32 am
are you posting picks before gametime?
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 05, 2012, 09:21 pm
lol, yes, of course the picks are before game time.. todays pick was the detroit tigers. its in the 9th and they are up by 4 runs or so, so if they dont  blow it we will be 9/10..

Im not going to post the picks before hand, lol.. have to pay for that. I did a few days ago wheh i went 2/2... But the picks are released about 2 or so before the very first game can be played...

I have 2 other picks that I call "for suresies" I dont recommend putting up more than 1 percent of the bankroll on my forsursies if one loses, then you double down the next game.. I havent been posting those.. ill go see how todays did..

The 2 for sursies picks (I don't include thiese bets in my regular accounting since i bet on them differently) are the Giants and the rangers to win.... If either team loses, double down on their next game... (those games havent started yet, so if you want to bet on them, go ahead..
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: frogwithADD on July 05, 2012, 10:16 pm
Why don't you start posting the picks BEFORE the games so people can verify that your picks are good? A free sample if you will (it's not like it's costing you anything right?)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 05, 2012, 10:27 pm
Ive already done that.....
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 05, 2012, 10:36 pm
For example: Here is what today's picks would have looked like...

Today's Picks for Thursday June 28, 2012   
 
* MLB Premium Picks *
 
2 Unit: Detroit Tigers  +108 (MONEYLINE0 7:10PM EST
 
I'm siding with the Tigers here tonight vs James Shields and the Rays.
The Rays just got embarrassed by the Royals and the Tigers just
got done playing some stiff competition against Texas.  Detroit has
some really good talented hitters and the record is deceiving compared
to the talent that is on this team.  I'm expected the Rays to be down after
getting swept by the Royals. Take Detroit tonight and this will
be an easy victory!
 
2 Unit: New York Mets +116 (MONEYLINE) 10:10PM EST
 
Look, the Dodgers have nobody that can hit a baseball on this team.
Their best two players are out in Either and Kemp. Chris Young
will dominate tonight vs L.A so this will be another easy win! Go
Mets!
 

IF you would have be just 50.00 dollars on each team you would have won 53.00 from tigers win and 58.00 for Mets win...Thats on top of getting your 50.00 dollar bet back on each team...

Again, heres the link...  http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/7605dfbeb0

On the 29th I gave the 2 above picks that were actually underdogs and they both won. I cant give them all for free, lol...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 05, 2012, 10:55 pm
Here is my copy and paste from one of my betting sites.. This is a bitcoin only site, so i didnt have too much in there to wager.. but this shows you what my picks were and the outcome..


MLB   Mon 7/2 19:05   Houston Astros
J. Lyles vs
Pittsburgh Pirates
J. McDonald   (902) Pittsburgh Pirates
J. McDonald   -183   BTC5.00   BTC2.73   Win   Bet
MLB   Sun 7/1 16:05   Cincinnati Reds
B. Arroyo vs
San Francisco Giants
R. Vogelsong   (964) San Francisco Giants
R. Vogelsong   -143   BTC1.00   BTC0.70   Win   Bet
MLB   Sun 7/1 15:05   LAA Angels
C. Wilson vs
Toronto Blue Jays
A. Laffey   (975) LAA Angels
C. Wilson   -152   BTC1.00   BTC0.66   Win   Bet
MLB   Sun 7/1 13:35   Washington Nationals
G. Gonzalez vs
Atlanta Braves
T. Hudson   (954) Atlanta Braves
J. Beckett vs
Seattle Mariners
E. Ramirez   (929) Boston Red Sox
J. Beckett   -141   BTC4.30   BTC3.05   Loss   Bet
MLB   Sat 6/30 19:15   New York Mets
J. Santana vs
Los Angeles Dodgers
N. Eovaldi   (911) New York Mets
J. Santana   -152   BTC6.00   BTC3.95   Win   Bet
MLB   Sat 6/30 19:15   New York Mets
J. Santana vs
Los Angeles Dodgers
N. Eovaldi   (911) New York Mets
J. Santana   -152   BTC3.00   BTC1.97   Win   Bet
MLB   Sat 6/30 16:05   Washington Nationals
S. Strasburg vs
Atlanta Braves
M. Minor   (904) Atlanta Braves
M. Minor   +122   BTC3.00   BTC3.66   Win   Bet
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 05, 2012, 11:06 pm
Besides that, if I pick only 1 team and it wins, you have to pay me, if the team doesnt win you can get your money back or get the next days picks. if the team goes 2/3 then you have to pay, if the teams go 2/4 then you have to pay me. Most picks will be 1 or 2 teams. So, I do have a little guarantee in there.. this is for the payment to me, not what you bet on. AS of right now, I do not take  bets.. although, im trying to figure out a way to do so...

So if there are 2 picks, I have to be right on both of them for you to pay me.. if one is wrong, you dont pay...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: maynardJK032 on July 05, 2012, 11:32 pm
Why don't you start posting the picks BEFORE the games so people can verify that your picks are good? A free sample if you will (it's not like it's costing you anything right?)
cause its easier picking in the bottom of 9th to keep the imaginary record going and lure in some suckers.
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: chronicpain on July 06, 2012, 03:09 am
No, every game is picked a few hours before the game starts. No one would take a bet that has already started unless it was a prop bet, or whatever.. Like I said before, some days we dont have any picks, some days are just one, some are two, the most this week, I think was 2 or 3...

Thats why I gave the 2 picks for free, to show everyone that its all on the up and up.... besides, like i said, if we make a pick and it doesn't win, you dont pay. or even if we pick two, both have to win for us to get paid.. 

We will have losing streaks, as well as winning streaks, thats why we cherry pick the best of the best. The only game we lost (i think) was a game that went into extra innings... But, I do know that since I started posting here, we have only lost 1. Most likely we wont keep that ratio up, (would be nice) but since May, its a little over 70 percent.

A lot of people have come on here an said that 70 percent is impossible. That is true, if you were  betting on every single game. The best of the best are lucky to average 55 percent.. We only pick the strong games that we think have a great chance of winning. Thats why we sometimes don't have a pick.  But, so far, I've been very happy with the results...
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: frogwithADD on July 10, 2012, 03:26 pm
No, every game is picked a few hours before the game starts. No one would take a bet that has already started unless it was a prop bet, or whatever.. Like I said before, some days we dont have any picks, some days are just one, some are two, the most this week, I think was 2 or 3...

Thats why I gave the 2 picks for free, to show everyone that its all on the up and up.... besides, like i said, if we make a pick and it doesn't win, you dont pay. or even if we pick two, both have to win for us to get paid.. 

We will have losing streaks, as well as winning streaks, thats why we cherry pick the best of the best. The only game we lost (i think) was a game that went into extra innings... But, I do know that since I started posting here, we have only lost 1. Most likely we wont keep that ratio up, (would be nice) but since May, its a little over 70 percent.

A lot of people have come on here an said that 70 percent is impossible. That is true, if you were  betting on every single game. The best of the best are lucky to average 55 percent.. We only pick the strong games that we think have a great chance of winning. Thats why we sometimes don't have a pick.  But, so far, I've been very happy with the results...

So try this: Everyday, at a specified time, update the OP with picks (or say no picks) so people can easily come back and check. After 2 weeks of this and people have already won money, you start charging and they'll be throwing their money at you.

Also, I've asked everyone this: How can I get a vendor tag under my name :)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: OG1973 on August 08, 2012, 01:28 pm
Will this be coming back ? I'm interested !
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: EnterTheMatrix on August 08, 2012, 01:33 pm
No, every game is picked a few hours before the game starts. No one would take a bet that has already started unless it was a prop bet, or whatever.. Like I said before, some days we dont have any picks, some days are just one, some are two, the most this week, I think was 2 or 3...

Thats why I gave the 2 picks for free, to show everyone that its all on the up and up.... besides, like i said, if we make a pick and it doesn't win, you dont pay. or even if we pick two, both have to win for us to get paid.. 

We will have losing streaks, as well as winning streaks, thats why we cherry pick the best of the best. The only game we lost (i think) was a game that went into extra innings... But, I do know that since I started posting here, we have only lost 1. Most likely we wont keep that ratio up, (would be nice) but since May, its a little over 70 percent.

A lot of people have come on here an said that 70 percent is impossible. That is true, if you were  betting on every single game. The best of the best are lucky to average 55 percent.. We only pick the strong games that we think have a great chance of winning. Thats why we sometimes don't have a pick.  But, so far, I've been very happy with the results...

Can I also please get a Vendor tag under my name?

Matrix  8)
Title: Re: Sports book betting hints.....I think this would work... baseball, etc all sport
Post by: shopper1888 on August 09, 2012, 01:14 pm
I have looked into this a LOT and the only thing I would join is the secret betting club - they are the only well rated people about IMO.

What they do is test all of the tipsters over a season or so and they tell their members who the tipsters, with real systems are.  Look them up. 
I don't have the cash yet - not enough to do this and that anyway (priorities and all that  ::) )

Anyone with half a brain should look them up and if you...no, when you win,  remember where you heard this first.

Can someone tell this Brit what the 'Juice' is - I am guessing that it is cash for the bookie since it is illegal to bet on sports - is it like a tax and if so why not get a proxie and bet in the UK where there is no tax no bets.


P.S.Chronic, to shut up your detractors and make A LOT more money why don't you get in contact with the secret betting club and they will test your system and if it comes out right for you I believe that they will give you a retainer each year.
.S.