Silk Road forums

Discussion => Off topic => Topic started by: MrOldVillage on March 04, 2012, 12:53 am

Title: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: MrOldVillage on March 04, 2012, 12:53 am
I have seen people estimate the size of the economy at 20-60 million before, but Silk Road seems to have taken the feedback off of the main page, and counting this feedback was the only method I know to make an estimate.  Earlier this year about 20-30 feedbacks per hour were happening.  Do we think this has gone up substantially?  Is there a way of finding this out now?
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: a_blackbird on March 04, 2012, 09:33 pm
Place an order.  Record the order number.  Wait a week.  Order something else.  Record the order number.  Compute the difference and divide by 7.

Obviously, this does not account for cancellations / refunds, and it makes no distinction between a 0.01 BTC order and a 100 BTC order, but it'll tell you roughly how many transactions are occurring on a daily basis.
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: BenJesuit on March 04, 2012, 09:49 pm
Tracking the top 5 vendors might give a good estimation of transaction volume. I would guess that the top 5 vendors make up anywhere from 50%-75% of the total volume of SR.
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: holymoley on March 04, 2012, 10:56 pm
I think they've just changed the order numbers, I don't think they're sequential any more theyr'e alphanumeric hashes
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: MrOldVillage on March 15, 2012, 07:46 am
The Bitcoin Trader has a bunch of cool stats.  Where did he get these?  It shows the post count doubling on this forum in the last 2 months!

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2012/03/silk-road-growing-in-popularity-at.html
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: ProudCannabian on March 16, 2012, 04:42 pm
I'd rather not know... and I'd rather others not know either.
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: Tagore on March 16, 2012, 04:53 pm
The Bitcoin Trader has a bunch of cool stats.  Where did he get these?  It shows the post count doubling on this forum in the last 2 months!

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2012/03/silk-road-growing-in-popularity-at.html

http://dkn255hz262ypmii.onion/index.php?action=stats
Title: Re: Estimating Silk Road Volume
Post by: thedoctorisin on March 17, 2012, 04:49 am
I'd rather not know... and I'd rather others not know either.

^^^^ This! A thousand times this!

The whole point of SR is that it is anonymous.  Why would you want to know the stats which may lead to compromising the service?