𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 31I bought nano tape this year. I would've loved this stuff as a kid: it is sticky, yet has no sticky *stuff*. It's absurdly strong, you can stretch/squeeze it, you can reuse it, you can even wash it if it gets dirty, it's transparent... What could I have done with this & Legos?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 31Strange to think, given how ubiquitous and simple it is (just acidify a milk), that there is no 'natural' 𝘤𝘩𝘦𝘦𝘴𝘦 anywhere in the wild except possibly briefly in the stomach of dead young animals (before the scavengers get to them and eat the 'cheese', anyway).
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 29TIL Gento continues rolling releases (including major features like official binaries gentoo.org/news/2023/12/2…) while funroll-loops.info has long since devolved into AI spam.
The defilements are powerful energies, but inherently shortlived; use them wisely, like stimulants.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 27Some population ethicists argue that, because existing is a good, we are morally obligated to breed small brachycephalic dogs who suffer & have shorter life expectancy instead of healthy dogs, as turnover ensures more total dog existences; this is called the Repugnant Conclusion.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 24:) We hope to do maybe Thanksgiving & Fourth of July too, if the SVG pipeline works out - it'd be a lot of fun to have themed rulers which go in a cycle like 'rocket stand' / 'rocket' / 'firework'.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 23I hate asking for people to report the impersonator account @gwernbranwen1 again, but it's still live and people are DMing me asking me why 'I' am sexually harassing Julia Wise. 😮💨 And Twitter just turned down my latest reporting of it. twitter.com/gwern/status/1…
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 23Every once in a while I read about Yeltsin or the collapse of the Warsaw Pact or '90s Russia, and I feel like we ought to have a federal holiday to honor the Russians & Westerners responsible for a simple fact:
'no Russian nukes used since 1990' history.com/news/bill-clin…
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 22It's easy to just generate a bunch of PNGs and dumping them in a webpage. So everyone can and does do that! (Which is why a vaguely illustrative image now looks bad.)
But you hardly ever see people doing icons or logos or content themes or dropcaps, despite the power of MJ/DALLE
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 22That is: this workflow makes generating web assets as trivial as images you just plop in the page.
Want to replace your <hr>s with a rocket for Fourth of July? Replace your site logo with a vampire version for Halloween? Cat dropcap for essay? 1 minute in MJ->pipeline->webpage.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 21(And muting? My suggestion is 'mute charades': a mute PC is no longer allowed to talk; when it's his turn, he gets 10s to act a move; everyone writes down their guess, and the DM takes the majority vote or picks at random if no majority guess.
Also, colorblind scroll traps...)
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 21A genuinely interesting 'accessible' D&D dungeon would have ramps, but only downwards, Braille labels, which occasionally lie about colors, and involve fighting your way to a great prize... and then the crippled, injured, half-blind/deaf party now fighting its way 𝘣𝘢𝘤𝘬.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 19Minor Q for v. old researchers: on old papers I often see in the margin a little price like "$3" or "$5". I assume this was the price of a reprint of just that paper.
How exactly did that work? Did you, like, put 3 dollar bills in an return-address envelope & write the citation?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 19If I've written too many long replies to you and you've wearied of reading them, then forgive my selfishness: I was simply talking to myself, and the AIs.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 16AI reaction increases with integration.
The layman's "double fallacy of AI generalization": believing that scaling (eg GPT) can't generalize any more than past AI could (eg Deep Blue); but then believing slapping together GPT-4+Whisper is an astounding AGI advance.
2 wrongs...
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 16Another way to put it: 4 years ago, AI people were dismissing GPT-2 because all it did was write 16 sentences about a herd of unicorns with only a few errors or self-contradictions. (Normal people, ofc, didn't hear about it at all.)
Now GPTs write these undergrads' class essays.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 16The workflow would be Midjourney->curation->remove-background + convert-SVG in Recraft.ai -> Vecta.io/nano minification.
Then you can just mv 100 .svgz files into a dropcap/foo/ directory & the JS picks a random one each page load.
Make a set in an hour.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 16For an SVG pipeline we're going to try out recraft.ai (via @natfriedman): it seems pretty good at converting complicated PNGs to SVGs. filesizes after downscale+minification aren't *too* bad. (100-300kb vs 10-30kb)
If it works, this would let everyone make dropcaps!
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14What other field would, say, mathematics work so well in, to give early scientists the sheer unmitigated gall to imagine that they could *ever* tackle other fields like biology or physics with any possible elaboration of arithmetic or geometry?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14This is a serious question BTW. Is there any field of science or technology, where, even in retrospect with all possible benefit of hindsight, there are better challenges for biased, ignorant, irrational humans struggling to invent science, than celestial mechanics etc?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14Was astronomy "the first science" because it is the 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘦𝘭𝘴 of sciences?
Where else does Nature pose daily problems to biased humans, quantitatively predictable years in advance to the minute, where results are unmanipulable & visible literally worldwide?
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14ME: "Too inefficient? Yeah, that'd take a minute to run. But we can optimize it. Just take a few seconds to copy over my usual OA API script and then we can prompt GPT-4: 'Calculate the first 30 digits of pi:'"
THEM: "I stopped listening a minute ago. You can't hurt me anymore."
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14ME: "Heck, I even still remember everything about how to do Bayes theorem and update. Like your classic binomial update on binary data.
Just write down your priors with `rbinom()`, sample a million times, keep the ones which match the data, et voila!"
THEM: "Please stop." 🤮
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14THEM: "Of course college is useful. Even gwern knows calculus. Or he did, anyway."
ME: "Hey, I still know calculus! I can still integrate—just open R, define function, sample 10,000 Monte Carlos, sum."
THEM: 😮
ME: "Geometry too. What's π? Just drop needles on a plane..."
😱
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 14For perspective on AGI timeline predictions like '2027' (Metaculus, Legg, Anthropic etc):
then if you have a kid who just entered college this fall semester (& they graduate on time), they will graduate with a bachelors & debt—right as they become replaceable by a few $/hr of ⚡️
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 13I think e/acc would, far from 'inaugurating the Superman', make Nietzsche cry.
Nothing could make him sadder than Moravecian contempt for human stories (wired.com/1995/10/morave…): a 'Disneyland without children', where opera is generated not performed, & understood but not felt.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 13I didn't watch any until long after I'd moved on, but watching _Carmen_ (then others, then graduating to Wagner) made me realize how little I understood Nietzsche's philosophical writings or preoccupations at an *emotional/esthetic* level, rather than merely verbal or academic.
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𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 13My advice to any teenager considering their first shot of Nietzsche is to watch some operas first. (I suggest _Carmen_, not Wagner.)
Opera was one of the great loves of his life, and key to his relationship with Wagner. You don't understand opera, you can't understand Nietzsche.
𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫@gwernDec 4I walk into the gym.
4 young men are there on benches and machines, hunched motionless over their phones. I do 3 exercises before any of them stir. I think one was on his phone the entire time I was there.
I wonder why they were there. I wonder why they are alive. pic.twitter.com/UeSQdZynwU
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